While considering how Kevin Riley played a year ago, I decided to consider how he matched up against the other Pac-10 quarterbacks. I compared his stats to the “average” quarterback (adding up the stats of all Pac-10 QBs, then dividing by amount of Pac-10 QBs).
Pac-10 Average: 214.5-367.5, 2563.1 yards, 58.4%, 6.97 Yds/A, 15.8 TD, 9.5 INT, 125.96 Rating or by rounding up to make it simpelr
Pac-10 Average: 215-368, 2563 yards, 58.4%, 6.97 Yds/A, 16 TD, 10 INT, 125.96 Rating
Kevin Riley: 209-382, 2850 yards, 54.7%, 7.46 Yds/A, 18 TD, 8 INT, 127.4 Rating
Who has the edge? Completions: Pac-10. Attempts: Riley. Yards: Riley. Completion %: Pac-10. Yds/A: Riley. TD: Riley. INT: Riley. Rating: Riley.
Overall, Riley appears to be above-average in most categories. He makes up for his sub-par completion percentage by putting together a high yard/attempt total. The Pac-10 average really only has completion % on him. So if Riley can up his completions, then he could very well be above average in every category. I think this shows that maybe Riley was a bit underestimated by our fans that are calling for his head. With his above average numbers, and another year of experience under his belt, Riley could elevate his game to a Top-3 performance.
These statistics show that the average Pac-10 QB was in deed a very solid player. And Kevin Riley exceeds those solid numbers. With almost all of the Pac-10 QBs returning, the average numbers should get much better. It’ll be interesting to see how Riley goes, either up or down.
Saturday, May 29, 2010
Friday, May 28, 2010
The Keenan Allen Impact- Defense
The previous post of this 2 part series can be found here
Keenan Allen is a highly talented incoming freshman recruited by Jeff Tedford and his staff. Ranked as the #1 safety in the class by Scout.com, there has been quite a bit of discussion as to where he will play, on offense or defense. From what we’ve heard, initial reports are he’ll be playing both sides of the ball. First, we took a look at his impact on the offensive side of the football. Today, we take a look at the defensive, where Allen would play as a safety.
Allen was ranked as high as the #5 player in the country as a safety, and a Parade All-American for his efforts. At 6-2, he’s has elite height for a safety which should help him in coverage. Running a 4.5 is good enough speed (probably right about average). The Rivals.com and Scout.com profiles provide these following notes. Allen is a bluechip guy in terms of agility and athleticism, and is elite in his size. He does need some added bulk (mentioned in the receiver bit as well) and could use some speed work. He has very good coverage awareness and has the hands to make interceptions. He also is a solid tackler. He does lack some closing speed.
Now on to my own impressions- vids from youtube and rivals/yahoo
The first thing I noticed when I watched the All-American video is the missed tackle. Tackling could be a problem for him and it looks like run support will not be his strong side. He takes a really bad angle on that play- hopefully that’s not a lingering problem. He does give up a couple of catches to Markeith Ambles- but he’s not a cover corner, but a safety. Again, it’s tough to tell with the footage I could tell. He appeared to show some quick feet and good instincts- I think he’ll be an above-average safety to start, and develop into a beast when he gets time in the system.
Is Keenan Allen ready to unseat a Sean Cattouse? No. Is he ready to make an impact early on? Yes. I’ve been very impressed with the little tape I’ve had and the scouting reports I’ve heard. He can be a bit undisciplined on tackling but is solid in that regard and appears to have very good cover skills. I think he’s a star down the line.
This begs the question: Is he a better receiver or safety? In my mind, the question is obvious. I’ve loved the skills he showed at the safety position, and his receiver skills seemed a little worse. He appears to be a very good receiver, whereas a great safety. With the secondary problems the Bears have had, I think the choice is obvious: Allen should be used as a safety first.
Keenan Allen is a highly talented incoming freshman recruited by Jeff Tedford and his staff. Ranked as the #1 safety in the class by Scout.com, there has been quite a bit of discussion as to where he will play, on offense or defense. From what we’ve heard, initial reports are he’ll be playing both sides of the ball. First, we took a look at his impact on the offensive side of the football. Today, we take a look at the defensive, where Allen would play as a safety.
Allen was ranked as high as the #5 player in the country as a safety, and a Parade All-American for his efforts. At 6-2, he’s has elite height for a safety which should help him in coverage. Running a 4.5 is good enough speed (probably right about average). The Rivals.com and Scout.com profiles provide these following notes. Allen is a bluechip guy in terms of agility and athleticism, and is elite in his size. He does need some added bulk (mentioned in the receiver bit as well) and could use some speed work. He has very good coverage awareness and has the hands to make interceptions. He also is a solid tackler. He does lack some closing speed.
Now on to my own impressions- vids from youtube and rivals/yahoo
The first thing I noticed when I watched the All-American video is the missed tackle. Tackling could be a problem for him and it looks like run support will not be his strong side. He takes a really bad angle on that play- hopefully that’s not a lingering problem. He does give up a couple of catches to Markeith Ambles- but he’s not a cover corner, but a safety. Again, it’s tough to tell with the footage I could tell. He appeared to show some quick feet and good instincts- I think he’ll be an above-average safety to start, and develop into a beast when he gets time in the system.
Is Keenan Allen ready to unseat a Sean Cattouse? No. Is he ready to make an impact early on? Yes. I’ve been very impressed with the little tape I’ve had and the scouting reports I’ve heard. He can be a bit undisciplined on tackling but is solid in that regard and appears to have very good cover skills. I think he’s a star down the line.
This begs the question: Is he a better receiver or safety? In my mind, the question is obvious. I’ve loved the skills he showed at the safety position, and his receiver skills seemed a little worse. He appears to be a very good receiver, whereas a great safety. With the secondary problems the Bears have had, I think the choice is obvious: Allen should be used as a safety first.
Baseball, Advanced Statistics, and College Football
If you know me from over at SBNation, then you know that I’m a huge baseball guy. I follow it, read a bunch of articles, and generally follow what is called “Sabremetrics.” While I don’t follow it religiously, I still take the time to read objectively organized opinions about my favorite players. With that, I began to wonder: Why don’t we have things like that for college football?
Well, the answer is a bit simple. Most of the geniuses of the “industry” participate in professional sports: MLB, NFL, and NBA. College Basketball has KenPom. But yet there is no college football site (to my knowledge) that provides this. No 1st down efficiency, 2nd down efficiency, or anything like that. Sad, really. I’d love to see how Kevin Riley did on 2nd down and 5. I’m trying to change that, in my own small way.
I don’t have a magic computer. I don’t know everything I’m going to try and do. But I’m starting with something: Calculating the Efficiency of the Bears, Offensively and Defensively, on each down. Maybe we’ll be doing some more later on, like that WAR or stats like that. Who knows?
Hopefully, you will enjoy my attempt at providing more statistical analysis toward college football. It’s still a bit surprising that you don’t see more of advanced college football statistics around these days.
Well, the answer is a bit simple. Most of the geniuses of the “industry” participate in professional sports: MLB, NFL, and NBA. College Basketball has KenPom. But yet there is no college football site (to my knowledge) that provides this. No 1st down efficiency, 2nd down efficiency, or anything like that. Sad, really. I’d love to see how Kevin Riley did on 2nd down and 5. I’m trying to change that, in my own small way.
I don’t have a magic computer. I don’t know everything I’m going to try and do. But I’m starting with something: Calculating the Efficiency of the Bears, Offensively and Defensively, on each down. Maybe we’ll be doing some more later on, like that WAR or stats like that. Who knows?
Hopefully, you will enjoy my attempt at providing more statistical analysis toward college football. It’s still a bit surprising that you don’t see more of advanced college football statistics around these days.
Thursday, May 27, 2010
The Keenan Allen impact- Offense
Keenan Allen was perhaps the most highly touted recruit in Jeff Tedford’s recruiting class, perhaps only behind Chris Martin. Stolen from Alabama at the last minute, Allen is a uniquely talented player. The only question is: what position will Allen play for the Bears? Today, we will look at Allen’s potential impact on the offensive side of the football, as a wide receiver target for Kevin Riley and the future Cal QB’s.
Allen in action- http://mm.news-record.com/drupal/files/imagecache/nrcom_article_image_landscape/Images/_776078020112009.jpg
We’re not going over all of Allen’s accolades, at least in terms of Parade All-American and the like. That was mainly for his defensive play. But he was a 5 star recruit. At 6-2, Allen is a tall threat who should tower over shorter college cornerbacks. One thing you can tell about his frame is that he’s very lanky and could use some filling out if he wants to withstand the hits. Running a 4.5, Allen has above average speed, but when combined with his height is a valuable combo. He has some good hands, according to Scout.com. Now let’s take a look at some highlight clips.
All highlight clips courtesy of: youtube.com and yahoo.com
From what I’ve seen he has a high level of speed; of course, it’s tough to tell against the high school competition. He didn’t look to be a very physical player who could break tackles however. Looking at some camp footage, he seems to catch the ball with hands (as opposed to with his body; this is a good sign). He could easily beat the corners that he was playing against in the camps, but their talent level is a question mark. His cuts are fluid and solid. Overall he looks solid.
Is Keenan Allen ready to be a #1 Receiver from the get-go? No. Marvin Jones and (maybe) Jeremy Ross are better then him right now. However, he can fit in as the #2 or #3 receiver right away and provide solid numbers. Down the line, he could very well be a #1.
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Justin Cobbs, point guard transfer from Minnesota, is the newest Golden Bear
Justin Cobbs, a 6-3 point guard from Torrance California, is transferring from Minnesota to Cal. Cobbs will sit out the 2010-2011 season and then play the 2011-2012 season as a redshirt sophomore. Cobbs was a 3 star recruit out of high school and was recruited by Cal, but never received an offer.
Cobbs is an athletic guard who can jam home some dunks and get out and start a breakaway. It’s tough to judge him having not seen him; the most you can find on him in terms of highlights is a dunk contest at Minnesota. Cobbs averaged 20 a game as a high school senior and 2 a game as a college freshman. According to some Minnesota fans, he didn’t look out of place but he didn’t look like a star. All in all, he can be a solid backup point guard. He won’t be a major contributor, but he’ll be good to be a solid role player.
Cobbs provides depth at the point guard position down the line. Welcome to Cal Justin!
Cobbs is an athletic guard who can jam home some dunks and get out and start a breakaway. It’s tough to judge him having not seen him; the most you can find on him in terms of highlights is a dunk contest at Minnesota. Cobbs averaged 20 a game as a high school senior and 2 a game as a college freshman. According to some Minnesota fans, he didn’t look out of place but he didn’t look like a star. All in all, he can be a solid backup point guard. He won’t be a major contributor, but he’ll be good to be a solid role player.
Cobbs provides depth at the point guard position down the line. Welcome to Cal Justin!
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